Climate Science for Service Partnership (WCSSP) S E Asia - Calls- tender-UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON
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Description
Strengthened partnership between meteorological services in UK, Philippines, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Indonesia. Research in understanding responses to Impact-based Forecasts and Warnings with a view to better quantifying the value of warnings.
Objectives
Impact-based Forecasts and Warnings (IbFW), aim to communicate the likelihood of impacts associated with upcoming weather and are increasingly being issued by hydrometeorological agencies globally. However, the quantitative demonstration of the value of IbFWs over traditional forecasts remains a challenge. Central to demonstrating this value is a need to better understand the response actions taken following receipt of IbFWs. Here we define response as the purposeful actions intended to produce a change in the severity of weather-related impacts upon receipt of a forecast or warning. To address this challenge, we seek to advance our knowledge and understanding in three key areas: 1) What are responses taken upon receipt of IbFWs, and how do these actions differ between stakeholders, and for different types of IbFWs given? 2) Can we better document response actions taken, what are the requirements of response data, who holds response data, and how can we routinely capture such data? 3) How can we utilise response data to develop methodologies to quantify avoided losses and demonstrate the value of IbFWs? What metrics/measures are appropriate for the assessment of value based on response data?
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