Sustainable Solutions for Managing Compound Flood Risks under Future Uncertainties: The Case of Shanghai City and the Yangtze River Delta Region
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Description
Climate change presents a significant planning challenge for the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) Region, where urban build-up has given rise to what may be the largest concentration of adjacent metropolitan areas in the world. The YRD metropolitan region is centred at Shanghai, a mega city sitting on the south edge of the mouth of Yangtze River. YRD in general and Shanghai in particular face compound extreme flooding events caused by sea level rise, extreme rainstorms, astronomical high tides, storm surge, and upstream floods. To effectively mitigate the potential devastating consequences of such compound events in YRD will not only save human lives in the region but also contribute to sustainable development and social stability in China. This project will develop resilient adaptation measures to address future increasing flood risk under climate change and rapid socioeconomic development in YRD and Shanghai. We will quantify the compound flooding risks in the future based on the latest developments in climate and hydrodynamic modelling, and assess both direct (physical damage of buildings, assets and infrastructures, etc.) and indirect losses (economic losses along the input-output chain of the economy) caused by such compound events. We will then evaluate proposed mitigation and adaptation alternatives with a focus on Shanghai and visualize the sustainable solutions over the period of 2017-2100 based on the enhanced Robust Decision Making (RDM) method.
Objectives
The Newton Fund builds research and innovation partnerships with developing countries across the world to promote the economic development and social welfare of the partner countries.
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